Tropical storm sets sights on Caribbean

Tropical storm sets sights on Caribbean

Storm expected to intensify in the next few days.

The fourth tropical storm of 2015, named Danny, is headed toward the Caribbean today, says the National Hurricane Center.

Danny, currently a tropical storm, has maximum sustained winds of 50 MPH, but the center predicts the storm will intensify.  The center thought the storm would be classed as a hurricane by today, but now say it will probably be Friday before that happens.

It is located some 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, and is moving west at a pace of approximately 10 MPH.

Experts say the storm is likely to strengthen because it is located in an area with low wind shear and will remain there for the next few days.  They expect the path to turn more toward the northwest over that period, and continue to move slowly towards the Lesser Antilles.

Hurricane center forecasters noted the storm had much better structure on Thursday, despite not having strengthened over the last few hours, adding the center of circulation is well defined.

Two different computer models make it difficult to say where Danny will head next.  One model predicts it will weaken and become a tropical wave in the Caribbean, while another — the official forecast — has Danny remaining at tropical storm strength for at least the next 96 hours.

It is far too early to predict whether Danny will have any impact on the U.S.

There is another active spot in the Atlantic that the center is watching as well.  An area of disturbed weather is close to Bermuda, and watchers predict it has about a 40 percent chance to develop into a storm system.

At this time, there are little more than a few showers in the area, but forecasters say there may be a chance that a low pressure area could develop, which might take on tropical storm characteristics while drifting northward.

 

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