Mars One mission plan comes under fire

Mars One, the much-hyped, often criticized Dutch non-profit that claims that they will put a human colony on Mars by 2025 is under fire again.

Earlier this month it was Neil deGrasse Tyson casting doubts on their timeline. Today it is one of their finalists, Dr. Joseph Roche, an assistant professor at Trinity College’s School of Education in Dublin, who is blasting virtually every aspect of the organization.

Roche told Elmo Keen of Medium that he was spurred into breaking his silence by uncritical media coverage of the Mars 100 announcement. For example, most outlets are still reporting that Mars One received over 200,000 applications for their one way trip to Mars when the actual number was 2,761.

According to Roche, a former NASA researcher with a Ph.D. in physics and astrophysics, some leading candidates for the mission had effectively bought their way and all candidates are being urged to “donate” fees they receive from media appearances back to Mars One.

“When you join the ‘Mars One Community,’ which happens automatically if you applied as a candidate, they start giving you points. You get points for getting through each round of the selection process (but just an arbitrary number of points, not anything to do with ranking), and then the only way to get more points is to buy merchandise from Mars One or to donate money to them,” Roche told Keen in an email.

Community members, according to Roche, can earn points by purchasing Mars One merchandise and by making donations to the company. High profile candidates, such as those featured in the Guardian last month, are simply those who have generated the most money for the organization, he says.

According to Keep, a Mars One spokesperson confirmed that the positions were based on supporter points but that the points were “unrelated to our selection process.”

The selection process is another aspect of Mars One that Roche was critical of.

“I have not met anyone from Mars One in person. Initially they’d said there were going to be regional interviews… we would travel there, we’d be interviewed, we’d be tested over several days, and in my mind that sounded at least like something that approached a legitimate astronaut selection process. But then they made us sign a non-disclosure agreement if we wanted to be interviewed, and then all of a sudden it changed from being a proper regional interview over several days to being a 10-minute Skype call,” he said.

Additionally, candidates were forbidden from recording the interview or taking any notes.

“That means all the info they have collected on me is a crap video I made, an application form that I filled out with mostly one-word answers… and then a 10-minute Skype interview. That is just not enough info to make a judgment on someone about anything,” he told Keep.

Bas Lansdorp, CEO of Mars One, has said that a more extensive phychological screening of the candidates will begin later this year. This will presumably be led by Mars One chief medical officer Norbert Kraft, who formerly evaluated astronauts for NASA.

This is not the beginning of the criticism for Mars One. No announcement has been made yet about the location of the training facility which is supposed to be in use before the year is out. That facility is supposed to simulate a Mars-like environment but there is no construction contract for it so far.

According to the company’s timeline, a Mars One lander is supposed to be put on the Red Planet in 2018 and a communications satellite placed in orbit. However, space launches are usually scheduled years in advance. So far there is no scheduled launch date for these space craft, nor are there contracts in place to build them.

According to SpacenewsSurrey Satellite Technology Ltd. (SSTL) has delivered a concept study for the construction of the satellite but has received no further instructions from the company. Lockheed Martin, the company expected to build the rover, also reports that a concept study has been done, but they have not received a go-ahead.

There have also been questions about their ability to raise funds, and their ability to complete the mission on budget, even if they do get the money.

NASA’s manned Mars trip, tentatively scheduled for the 2030s is expected to cost $100 billion, compared to Mars One’s $6 billion and it is not clear where the $6 billion is going to come from.

“Even a successful space start-up like SpaceX, which shares Mars One’s goal of reaching Mars, has only raised $1.2 billion in funding, and has likely not come close to earning $6 billion,” said Tim Fernholz in Quartz.

The non-profit’s announced plan calls for most of the money to come from a reality TV show, however they do not appear to have any partners for that show at this point.

If Mars One is going to stick to its original timeline, big announcements, building plans and contracts should be coming in the next few months.

 

 

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